Our changing seasons (medium 2050’s)

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Natasha storyboards the changing seasons over the 2050s medium emissions scenario. Given these conditions Natasha points to changes in insect breeding season affecting animals. With plants and animal stressed and the soils compacted this could lead to flooding and landscape changes.

I was contemplating doing something about how our seasons are changing and I explored the medium 2050 scenario. Then, over the four pictures I’ve done each of the seasons. So spring and exploring that the daytime temperatures are going to be warmer. The coldest night time temperatures will be warmer. We’re going to have a bit less cloud cover. Not much only four percent less and slightly more rain.

Again, I don’t know whether it’s a statistically significant change to rainfall as it’s just plus 0.3 percent. So it’s going to be less cloudy. Will that mean more evaporation, more transpiration from the plants as they’re getting more sunlight. So, they’re probably going to be more productive and how is this going to affect the phenology? So that’s the breeding seasons for insects and birds are things going to move out of sync.

We’re already starting to see that insects are breeding earlier because it’s getting warmer earlier which means that there isn’t the abundance of insects when the birds are breeding so their breeding success is lower. And how’s that going to change with this thrown in with these greater changes. And then on Into Summer again, it’s hotter. There’s a quite a bit less cloud and a lot less rain, but because there’s less cloudy there’s going to be more evaporation more transpiration and it’s all sort of going to feed into each other and similar in Autumn. But then when we get to Winter all of the plants and Wildlife are going to have been stressed by drought the soils are going to be compacted and when we get that 17% increase in rainfall, what’s that going to do? Is it going to be flooding or is it going to be refilling the reservoirs?

Likelihood is it’s just going to push straight out to sea taking with it a lot of the topsoil from the fields that are empty in the winter. Again with the dry stuff. It might also be blown away as well. So it’s sort of exploring how that could change our whole landscape really.

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